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The world — and particularly the U.S. economy — is navigating unprecedented and turbulent times. For bankruptcy professionals, it may feel as though we’ve fallen down Alice’s rabbit hole, where the rules we've long understood and accepted no longer apply. In this new reality, uncertainty defines both the global and American economic landscapes.
For example, the U.S. government has lost its AAA credit rating, leading to spiking Treasury yields. This raises borrowing costs at a time of record federal deficits. Compounding the issue, China — one of the largest holders of U.S. debt — is now engaged in an escalating trade war with no clear resolution in sight.
Tariffs have been levied on almost every major trading partner, particularly China. These actions are disrupting global supply chains and prompting corporate responses to the uncertainty surrounding the availability of goods. Economists report that the U.S. is now experiencing the highest levels of trade and economic uncertainty since 1901.
Meanwhile, Congress is gridlocked over budget and fiscal policy. While Republicans control of both chambers on Capitol Hill, there has been little indication of how bipartisan cooperation might unfold. Internal disagreements among Republicans have made fiscal resolution elusive, and the failure to address pressing issues — such as tax policy, debt management, and budget reform — only adds layers of uncertainty to an already shaky economic foundation.
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